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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.92+6.04vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+7.65vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.79+4.49vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.08+2.14vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.95+5.49vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88+0.97vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.94+3.72vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.21+1.48vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.52-0.71vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut1.13+6.16vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.83-3.71vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.41-2.86vs Predicted
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13McGill University1.56+1.99vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.41-5.44vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.73-7.49vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.81-4.68vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.60-4.86vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-10.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.14Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.49University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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6.97Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.72Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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9.48Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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8.29Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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16.16University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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7.29Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.14University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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14.99McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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8.56Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.51Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.32Boston University2.810.0%1st Place
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12.14Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Michael Saldi | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 2.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 17.2% | 53.8% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Renee Torrie | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 28.7% | 27.6% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Charles Welsh | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 4.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 5.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.