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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.95+9.77vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+4.26vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.94+7.89vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.73+3.39vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.79+2.20vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.83+1.10vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.52+1.32vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.28vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.60+2.88vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.37vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.88-3.96vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.92-4.88vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.81-1.98vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.96-3.75vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.47-6.54vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.41-7.18vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.13-0.87vs Predicted
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18McGill University1.56-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.77University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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6.26Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.89Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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7.39Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.2Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.1Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.32Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.88Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.04Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.12Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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11.02Boston University2.810.0%1st Place
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10.25Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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16.13University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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15.0McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 2.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 4.6% |
| David Larson | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| William Bailey | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 16.9% | 54.6% |
| Renee Torrie | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 27.7% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.