← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University3.73+6.68vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.92+4.95vs Predicted
-
3Yale University4.08+3.31vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.47+4.40vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.95+5.44vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.86vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College3.52+1.27vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+1.26vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.79-1.88vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College3.83-2.63vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.88-3.92vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College2.96-1.12vs Predicted
-
13Boston University2.94-2.51vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont3.41-5.52vs Predicted
-
15University of Connecticut1.13+1.12vs Predicted
-
16Boston University2.81-4.75vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University2.60-4.94vs Predicted
-
18McGill University1.56-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.68Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
-
6.95Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
6.31Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
8.4Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
10.44University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
-
7.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.27Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
-
9.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
-
7.12Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
7.37Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
-
7.08Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
-
10.88Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
-
10.49Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
-
8.48University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
-
16.12University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
-
11.25Boston University2.810.0%1st Place
-
12.06Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
-
14.98McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Corgard | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| William Bailey | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| David Larson | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Michael Saldi | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 18.4% | 52.5% |
| Charles Welsh | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 3.8% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 6.3% |
| Renee Torrie | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 27.0% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.