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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+4.93vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+4.89vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+9.66vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.92+2.23vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.88+1.41vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.41+2.18vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.95+3.00vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.41+0.06vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.83-2.51vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.94+0.28vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-2.13vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.96-1.68vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.13+2.64vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.52-6.47vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.77-4.33vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.60-4.54vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.81-6.25vs Predicted
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18McGill University1.56-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.89Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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12.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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6.23Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.41Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.18University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.0University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.49Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.28Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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10.32Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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15.64University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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7.53Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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10.67Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.46Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.75Boston University2.810.0%1st Place
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14.64McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 8.1% |
| William Bailey | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Saldi | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| David Larson | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 16.3% | 47.9% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Renee Torrie | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 21.8% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.