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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.03+1.40vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina-0.41+0.94vs Predicted
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3Davidson College-2.02+2.02vs Predicted
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4Wake Forest University0.05-1.51vs Predicted
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5Vanderbilt University-0.91-1.39vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.59-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4North Carolina State University-0.0330.6%1st Place
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2.94University of South Carolina-0.4119.7%1st Place
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5.02Davidson College-2.023.8%1st Place
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2.49Wake Forest University0.0528.1%1st Place
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3.61Vanderbilt University-0.9111.8%1st Place
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4.55University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.595.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annika Milstien | 30.6% | 26.7% | 22.1% | 14.6% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 19.7% | 20.8% | 23.3% | 20.4% | 13.2% | 2.6% |
| Jim Wang | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 23.7% | 52.2% |
| Quinn Healey | 28.1% | 26.9% | 22.4% | 14.3% | 7.2% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Johnson | 11.8% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 25.9% | 20.0% | 10.9% |
| Anna Pederson | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 30.9% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.