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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+7.34vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+4.92vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+3.45vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.83+2.52vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.88+1.44vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+2.79vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.08-1.28vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.77+2.62vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.94+1.04vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.41-1.58vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.96-0.95vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.95-1.65vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.75vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.52-6.47vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.81-4.45vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.60-4.51vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.13-1.12vs Predicted
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18McGill University1.56-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.34Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.45Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.52Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.44Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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5.72Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.62Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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10.04Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.05Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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10.35University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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12.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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7.53Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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10.55Boston University2.810.0%1st Place
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11.49Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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15.88University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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14.65McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| William Bailey | 9.3% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.6% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.7% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Michael Saldi | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 7.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Charles Welsh | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 5.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 50.4% |
| Renee Torrie | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 24.4% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.