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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.92+5.65vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.77+9.19vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.81+7.95vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.83+2.71vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.08+0.82vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.95+4.18vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79-0.02vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.41+0.25vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.52-1.11vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.94+0.49vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.41-2.56vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-4.69vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.13+2.69vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.60-2.72vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.48vs Predicted
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16McGill University1.56-1.09vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.21-7.69vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.88-11.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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11.19Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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10.95Boston University2.810.0%1st Place
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6.71Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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5.82Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.18University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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6.98Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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7.89Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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10.49Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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8.44Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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15.69University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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11.28Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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12.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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14.91McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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9.31Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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6.42Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 2.7% |
| Charles Welsh | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 12.5% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Michael Saldi | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 17.1% | 47.9% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 8.0% |
| Renee Torrie | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 13.0% | 23.6% | 28.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.