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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+7.55vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.77+9.19vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+3.93vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.21+5.01vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.88+1.56vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.08-0.10vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.41+1.39vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.79-1.19vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.92-2.63vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.81+1.00vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-3.87vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.52-3.73vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.95-2.95vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.60-2.72vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.94-4.81vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.29vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.13-1.05vs Predicted
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18McGill University1.56-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.55Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.19Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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6.93Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.01Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.56Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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5.9Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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6.81Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.37Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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11.0Boston University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.27Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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10.05University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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11.28Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.19Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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12.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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15.95University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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14.74McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Henry Vogel | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 8.8% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 2.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
| Michael Saldi | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 8.8% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 17.1% | 50.8% |
| Renee Torrie | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 23.8% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.