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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.72+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-0.76vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.47+3.62vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis0.83+1.55vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+2.55vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.79-0.22vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.84vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.56-1.70vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.31-1.90vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.01-1.80vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-5.06vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.18-1.96vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.39-7.23vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.62-5.34vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands0.47-9.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08University of California at Santa Barbara1.720.2%1st Place
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2.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.4%1st Place
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7.62California State University Channel Islands0.470.0%1st Place
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6.55University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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8.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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6.78University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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6.16University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.1%1st Place
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7.3California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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8.1University of California at Berkeley0.310.0%1st Place
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9.2University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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12.04University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
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7.77University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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10.66University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.62California State University Channel Islands0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Rickon | 15.2% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 40.7% | 26.4% | 16.1% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Brownsea | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Anderson | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Hogan | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| David Luu | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 48.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 14.2% | 23.4% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Brownsea | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.