← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Davis0.83+4.92vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+0.12vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+2.88vs Predicted
-
4California State University Channel Islands0.47+3.01vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara1.72-1.14vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley0.79+0.21vs Predicted
-
7California State University Channel Islands0.47+0.01vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley-0.01-0.96vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley0.31-2.67vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego0.39-3.78vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96-1.18vs Predicted
-
13California State University Monterey Bay0.56-6.23vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego-1.18-3.78vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-0.62-6.13vs Predicted
-
17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.12-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.92University of California at Davis0.830.1%1st Place
-
2.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.4%1st Place
-
5.88University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.1%1st Place
-
7.01California State University Channel Islands0.470.0%1st Place
-
3.86University of California at Santa Barbara1.720.1%1st Place
-
6.21University of California at Berkeley0.790.1%1st Place
-
7.01California State University Channel Islands0.470.0%1st Place
-
8.04University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
-
7.33University of California at Berkeley0.310.0%1st Place
-
7.22University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
-
10.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
-
6.77California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
-
11.22University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
-
9.87University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
-
12.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Baldassare | 6.0% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 44.4% | 27.2% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 6.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Brownsea | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grant Rickon | 14.2% | 18.8% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Brownsea | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Hogan | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Anderson | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Keiran Hansen | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 23.7% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Luu | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 17.7% | 24.9% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Tim Wetzel | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 18.0% | 57.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.