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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+0.65vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.85+0.91vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina1.40+0.49vs Predicted
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4University of Tennessee0.80+0.24vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.64-1.65vs Predicted
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6Vanderbilt University-0.27-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65College of Charleston3.200.6%1st Place
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2.91Clemson University1.850.2%1st Place
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3.49University of North Carolina1.400.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Tennessee0.800.0%1st Place
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3.35Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.1%1st Place
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5.37Vanderbilt University-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 57.0% | 27.4% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Smolka | 16.1% | 26.3% | 25.1% | 18.5% | 11.4% | 2.6% |
| John Mellnik | 9.9% | 16.2% | 21.2% | 26.6% | 20.0% | 6.1% |
| Ervin Grove | 4.8% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 35.0% | 17.5% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 11.0% | 18.7% | 24.1% | 23.1% | 16.8% | 6.3% |
| Katie Stack | 1.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 15.9% | 67.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.