← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.18+3.80vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley0.53+3.59vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+0.43vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+0.47vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley1.31-1.54vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.62-3.26vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-0.17vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego-0.84+1.10vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis-0.43-0.81vs Predicted
-
11California State University Channel Islands-0.85-0.96vs Predicted
-
12California State University Monterey Bay0.14-4.57vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74-3.01vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego0.43-8.07vs Predicted
-
16California State University Channel Islands-0.85-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.8University of California at Santa Barbara1.180.1%1st Place
-
6.59University of California at Berkeley0.530.1%1st Place
-
4.43University of California at Santa Barbara1.350.1%1st Place
-
5.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
-
4.46University of California at Berkeley1.310.1%1st Place
-
3.74University of California at Berkeley1.620.2%1st Place
-
7.83University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.1%1st Place
-
10.1University of California at San Diego-0.840.0%1st Place
-
9.19University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
-
10.04California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
-
7.43California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
-
9.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.740.0%1st Place
-
6.93University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
-
10.04California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Burrow | 13.7% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Thomas | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Pekin | 14.5% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 14.3% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 20.4% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Hayley Chong | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 25.5% | 0.0% |
| Alana McSween | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Steward | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 26.1% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McManus | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 18.2% | 23.8% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Steward | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 26.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.