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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of California at Berkeley1.31+2.48vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.18+1.80vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+1.46vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands-0.85+5.19vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.43+3.08vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-2.71vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.84+1.97vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-1.09vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.62-7.18vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.53-5.43vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74-3.23vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay0.14-6.28vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.43-8.06vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.85-5.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48University of California at Berkeley1.310.1%1st Place
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4.8University of California at Santa Barbara1.180.1%1st Place
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5.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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10.19California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
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9.08University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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4.29University of California at Santa Barbara1.350.2%1st Place
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9.97University of California at San Diego-0.840.0%1st Place
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7.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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3.82University of California at Berkeley1.620.2%1st Place
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6.57University of California at Berkeley0.530.1%1st Place
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9.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.740.0%1st Place
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7.72California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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6.94University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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10.19California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Keenan | 14.5% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Burrow | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Steward | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 28.8% | 0.0% |
| Alana McSween | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Pekin | 16.5% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayley Chong | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 20.4% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 19.7% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Thomas | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McManus | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Steward | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 28.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.