← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.18+3.82vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley1.62+1.76vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley0.53+3.58vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+0.41vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley1.31-0.58vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-1.66vs Predicted
-
8California State University Channel Islands-0.85+2.02vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego-0.84+1.06vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis-0.43-0.83vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-3.10vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74-2.28vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego0.43-7.01vs Predicted
-
15California State University Channel Islands-0.85-4.98vs Predicted
-
16California State University Monterey Bay0.14-8.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.82University of California at Santa Barbara1.180.1%1st Place
-
3.76University of California at Berkeley1.620.2%1st Place
-
6.58University of California at Berkeley0.530.1%1st Place
-
4.41University of California at Santa Barbara1.350.1%1st Place
-
4.42University of California at Berkeley1.310.2%1st Place
-
5.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
-
10.02California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
-
10.06University of California at San Diego-0.840.0%1st Place
-
9.17University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
-
7.9University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
-
9.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.740.0%1st Place
-
6.99University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
-
10.02California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
-
7.81California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Burrow | 13.9% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 18.3% | 19.2% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Thomas | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Pekin | 14.3% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 16.3% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Steward | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 19.5% | 25.4% | 0.0% |
| Hayley Chong | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
| Alana McSween | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McManus | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Steward | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 19.5% | 25.4% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.