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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.35+2.59vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.50+1.38vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University1.45+0.52vs Predicted
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4Amherst College0.89+0.47vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00-0.71vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.60-2.73vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.12-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of New Hampshire1.350.2%1st Place
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3.38Middlebury College1.500.2%1st Place
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3.52Wesleyan University1.450.2%1st Place
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4.47Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
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4.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.1%1st Place
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3.27Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.600.2%1st Place
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5.48Sacred Heart University0.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Dykes | 17.1% | 16.5% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 7.5% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 18.9% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 4.7% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 16.6% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 5.8% |
| Noah Brayer | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 18.0% | 19.7% | 17.4% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 9.8% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 14.3% |
| Norbert Mongeon | 22.1% | 17.5% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 4.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 17.9% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.