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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.60+2.21vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.35+1.59vs Predicted
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3Amherst College0.89+1.47vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.50-0.55vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00-0.72vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University1.45-2.48vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.12-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.600.2%1st Place
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3.59University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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4.47Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
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3.45Middlebury College1.500.2%1st Place
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4.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.1%1st Place
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3.52Wesleyan University1.450.2%1st Place
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5.48Sacred Heart University0.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norbert Mongeon | 23.6% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 5.1% |
| William Dykes | 14.9% | 19.0% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 6.4% |
| Noah Brayer | 9.7% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 19.2% | 18.0% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 19.0% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 4.6% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 9.3% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 18.3% | 14.1% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 18.2% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 6.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 18.3% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.