← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University0.26+0.64vs Predicted
-
2Wake Forest University-2.44+3.09vs Predicted
-
3University of South Carolina-1.80+1.25vs Predicted
-
4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.77+0.02vs Predicted
-
5Davidson College-1.09-1.95vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina-2.36-1.04vs Predicted
-
7Vanderbilt University-2.36-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.64North Carolina State University0.2656.6%1st Place
-
5.09Wake Forest University-2.443.0%1st Place
-
4.25University of South Carolina-1.806.6%1st Place
-
4.02University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.777.8%1st Place
-
3.05Davidson College-1.0917.1%1st Place
-
4.96University of North Carolina-2.364.7%1st Place
-
4.99Vanderbilt University-2.364.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Hannah | 56.6% | 28.1% | 10.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Palmer | 3.0% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 20.3% | 28.5% |
| Tyler Williams | 6.6% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 18.8% | 19.2% | 14.7% | 12.1% |
| Tonya Hakim | 7.8% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 20.7% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 8.4% |
| Oliver Genovese | 17.1% | 23.8% | 23.5% | 17.5% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Megan Miller | 4.7% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 21.1% | 24.7% |
| Tiffany Ngigi | 4.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 23.2% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.