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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+0.66vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina1.40+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of Tennessee0.80+1.23vs Predicted
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4Clemson University1.85-1.05vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.64-1.68vs Predicted
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6Vanderbilt University-0.27-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66College of Charleston3.200.6%1st Place
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3.48University of North Carolina1.400.1%1st Place
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4.23University of Tennessee0.800.1%1st Place
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2.95Clemson University1.850.2%1st Place
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3.32Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.1%1st Place
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5.36Vanderbilt University-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 56.8% | 27.2% | 10.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| John Mellnik | 8.8% | 18.6% | 23.2% | 21.9% | 20.6% | 6.9% |
| Ervin Grove | 6.0% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 19.5% | 35.9% | 17.6% |
| Alexander Smolka | 15.9% | 23.0% | 26.9% | 20.9% | 11.3% | 2.0% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 10.9% | 20.0% | 22.5% | 25.0% | 15.7% | 5.9% |
| Katie Stack | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.