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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.35+2.57vs Predicted
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2Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.60+1.20vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00+1.32vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University1.45-0.45vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.50-1.54vs Predicted
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6Amherst College0.89-1.58vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.12-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57University of New Hampshire1.350.2%1st Place
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3.2Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.600.2%1st Place
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4.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.1%1st Place
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3.55Wesleyan University1.450.2%1st Place
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3.46Middlebury College1.500.2%1st Place
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4.42Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
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5.48Sacred Heart University0.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Dykes | 17.7% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 6.6% |
| Norbert Mongeon | 20.8% | 20.6% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 4.1% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 11.0% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 14.9% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 16.9% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 11.8% | 5.4% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 17.4% | 19.7% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 5.9% |
| Noah Brayer | 11.2% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 18.5% | 17.4% |
| Brian Reilly | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 18.7% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.