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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.50+2.34vs Predicted
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2Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.60+1.23vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.35+0.69vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University1.45-0.45vs Predicted
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5Amherst College0.89-0.52vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00-1.75vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.12-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Middlebury College1.500.2%1st Place
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3.23Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.600.2%1st Place
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3.69University of New Hampshire1.350.2%1st Place
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3.55Wesleyan University1.450.2%1st Place
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4.48Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
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4.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.1%1st Place
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5.46Sacred Heart University0.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 20.5% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 5.7% |
| Norbert Mongeon | 20.6% | 19.9% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| William Dykes | 15.7% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 17.5% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 5.6% |
| Noah Brayer | 8.0% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 17.9% | 20.2% | 16.8% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 12.1% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 14.6% |
| Brian Reilly | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 18.0% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.