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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wesleyan University1.45+2.46vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.50+1.38vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.35+0.63vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00+0.30vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.60-1.69vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University0.12-0.39vs Predicted
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7Amherst College0.89-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Wesleyan University1.450.2%1st Place
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3.38Middlebury College1.500.2%1st Place
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3.63University of New Hampshire1.350.2%1st Place
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4.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.1%1st Place
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3.31Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.600.2%1st Place
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5.61Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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4.31Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 18.4% | 18.6% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 6.7% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 17.5% | 18.9% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 4.9% |
| William Dykes | 16.5% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 6.7% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 11.3% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 20.6% | 14.2% |
| Norbert Mongeon | 19.7% | 20.1% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 5.4% |
| Brian Reilly | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 48.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 20.9% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.