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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.35+2.60vs Predicted
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2Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.60+1.24vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.50+0.40vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00+0.30vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University1.45-1.47vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University0.12-0.38vs Predicted
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7Amherst College0.89-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6University of New Hampshire1.350.2%1st Place
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3.24Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.600.2%1st Place
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3.4Middlebury College1.500.2%1st Place
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4.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.1%1st Place
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3.53Wesleyan University1.450.2%1st Place
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5.62Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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4.32Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Dykes | 17.0% | 17.1% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 8.1% |
| Norbert Mongeon | 19.9% | 20.0% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 4.4% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 18.9% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 5.3% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 11.1% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 20.8% | 13.8% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 16.7% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 6.9% |
| Brian Reilly | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 47.7% |
| Noah Brayer | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 18.2% | 21.0% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.