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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.60+2.22vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.35+1.63vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University1.45+0.50vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.50-0.55vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University0.12+0.64vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00-1.76vs Predicted
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7Amherst College0.89-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.600.2%1st Place
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3.63University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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3.5Wesleyan University1.450.2%1st Place
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3.45Middlebury College1.500.2%1st Place
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5.64Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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4.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.1%1st Place
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4.32Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norbert Mongeon | 22.3% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 4.2% |
| William Dykes | 14.8% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 6.5% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 17.5% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 6.3% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 19.8% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 5.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 49.7% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 10.3% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 14.6% |
| Noah Brayer | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 18.2% | 21.3% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.