← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.74+4.43vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.25+4.93vs Predicted
-
3Bates College0.37+12.38vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.60+1.63vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.79+3.18vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.73-0.73vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.53+2.18vs Predicted
-
8Boston University3.24-1.30vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.58-0.01vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.29+3.14vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island1.83+0.46vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire1.24+1.38vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida3.59-7.38vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.09vs Predicted
-
15Wesleyan University-0.24+1.32vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy0.20-0.48vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-9.08vs Predicted
-
18Roger Williams University3.77-12.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.43Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
-
6.93Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
-
15.38Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
-
5.63Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
8.18Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
-
5.27Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
9.18Tufts University2.530.0%1st Place
-
6.7Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
8.99University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
-
13.14Northeastern University1.290.0%1st Place
-
11.46University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
-
13.38University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
-
5.62University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
-
10.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
-
16.32Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
-
15.52Maine Maritime Academy0.200.0%1st Place
-
7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
-
5.01Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 11.9% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 25.9% | 20.9% |
| Nick Sertl | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Donal Ryan | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
| Peter Girard | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 5.1% |
| Sean Cornell | 11.0% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Abe Kipnis | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 21.7% | 43.8% |
| Joseph Farrin | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 12.3% | 18.7% | 22.9% | 25.1% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 13.5% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.