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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+5.97vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.77+3.28vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.60+2.77vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.79+4.16vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.73+0.19vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.74-0.79vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.25-0.26vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-0.29vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.59-3.39vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.53-0.58vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.58-1.87vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.29+1.31vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.83-1.71vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.01vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.24-1.85vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.37-0.75vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-0.24-0.61vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.20-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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5.28Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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5.77Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.16Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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5.19Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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5.21Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.74Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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5.61University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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9.42Tufts University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.13University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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13.31Northeastern University1.290.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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10.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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13.15University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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15.25Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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16.39Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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15.44Maine Maritime Academy0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 13.7% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Donal Ryan | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 4.4% |
| Peter Girard | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 3.7% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 13.3% | 19.2% | 22.2% | 20.5% |
| Abe Kipnis | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 23.0% | 46.3% |
| Joseph Farrin | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 19.1% | 26.2% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.