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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.38+6.06vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.52+4.63vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.39+4.17vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.10+4.35vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.78+0.84vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.86+3.07vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.33+0.47vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.48-1.31vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.68+0.58vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.81-0.74vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16-6.34vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.90-4.12vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.29-6.53vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.90-6.22vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.32-2.72vs Predicted
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17Cornell University-1.25-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.63Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.17Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.35Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
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5.84College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.47Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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6.69Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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9.26Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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4.66St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.2%1st Place
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8.88Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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7.47University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
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13.28University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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15.81Cornell University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Powers | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Wilson | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Genoa Warner | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Shannon Heausler | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.7% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Briana Provancha | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sara Burke | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 5.0% | 0.3% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 17.4% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 0.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Bethany Leonard | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Barch | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 12.4% | 53.0% | 5.9% |
| Emily Bick | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 4.9% | 92.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.