← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University0.26+0.58vs Predicted
-
2University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.77+2.11vs Predicted
-
3Wake Forest University-2.44+2.08vs Predicted
-
4University of South Carolina-1.80+0.36vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina-2.36-0.08vs Predicted
-
6Davidson College-1.09-2.95vs Predicted
-
7Vanderbilt University-2.36-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.58North Carolina State University0.2659.7%1st Place
-
4.11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.777.1%1st Place
-
5.08Wake Forest University-2.443.5%1st Place
-
4.36University of South Carolina-1.806.2%1st Place
-
4.92University of North Carolina-2.363.6%1st Place
-
3.05Davidson College-1.0914.9%1st Place
-
4.9Vanderbilt University-2.365.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Hannah | 59.7% | 27.0% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tonya Hakim | 7.1% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 9.8% |
| Charles Palmer | 3.5% | 5.5% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 21.9% | 26.8% |
| Tyler Williams | 6.2% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 20.2% | 18.1% | 11.7% |
| Megan Miller | 3.6% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 25.9% |
| Oliver Genovese | 14.9% | 26.8% | 22.8% | 17.7% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Tiffany Ngigi | 5.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 20.8% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.