← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.74+4.42vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.24+4.95vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University3.77+2.28vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.60+1.62vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.79+3.24vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+1.87vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.73-1.71vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida3.59-2.31vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.53+0.25vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island1.83+1.67vs Predicted
-
11Bates College0.37+4.31vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont2.58-2.63vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-1.77vs Predicted
-
14University of New Hampshire1.24-0.98vs Predicted
-
15Yale University3.25-8.30vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy0.20-0.38vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.66-4.79vs Predicted
-
18Wesleyan University-0.24-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.42Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
-
6.95Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
5.28Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
5.62Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
8.24Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
-
7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
-
5.29Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
5.69University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
-
9.25Tufts University2.530.0%1st Place
-
11.67University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
-
15.31Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
-
9.37University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
-
11.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
-
13.02University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
-
6.7Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
-
15.62Maine Maritime Academy0.200.0%1st Place
-
12.21Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
-
16.25Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 13.7% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 19.0% | 23.7% | 23.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 9.5% | 3.8% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Farrin | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 10.7% | 16.2% | 28.8% | 24.5% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Abe Kipnis | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 22.4% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.