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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.79+7.34vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.25+4.80vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.77+2.19vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.74+1.07vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+2.60vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73-0.85vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.79+4.42vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.59-2.45vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.60-3.47vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.24-3.11vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.83+0.42vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-2.83vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-1.97vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.66-2.37vs Predicted
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15Bates College0.37+0.22vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.20-0.43vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.24-3.81vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-0.24-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.34Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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6.8Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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5.19Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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5.07Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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5.15Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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11.42Tufts University1.790.0%1st Place
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5.55University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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5.53Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.89Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.42University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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9.17University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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11.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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11.63Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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15.22Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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15.57Maine Maritime Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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13.19University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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16.21Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Alexander | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 12.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 14.1% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Sean Cornell | 10.6% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 24.3% | 20.4% |
| Joseph Farrin | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 17.3% | 25.4% | 26.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 4.3% |
| Abe Kipnis | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 22.2% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.