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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.59+4.89vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+3.39vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.74+2.41vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.77+1.14vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.58+4.02vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.25+0.81vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+0.88vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+3.21vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.60-3.36vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.79+1.76vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.52-1.64vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.79-3.38vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.24-6.33vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.66-2.22vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.24-1.79vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.37-0.69vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.20-1.31vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-0.24-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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5.39Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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5.41Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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5.14Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.02University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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6.81Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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11.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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5.64Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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11.76Tufts University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Rhode Island2.520.0%1st Place
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8.62Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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6.67Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.78Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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13.21University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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15.31Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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15.69Maine Maritime Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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16.23Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Cornell | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 14.2% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 10.0% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Lucy Clara Jones | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 10.9% | 3.7% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 11.7% | 19.6% | 24.5% | 20.9% |
| Joseph Farrin | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 17.9% | 25.8% | 28.0% |
| Abe Kipnis | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 12.5% | 23.6% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.