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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.77+4.30vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.25+4.97vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+3.93vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.60+1.62vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.59+0.62vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.53+3.28vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+4.30vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.66+3.99vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.73-3.86vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.74-4.54vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.83+0.68vs Predicted
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12Bates College0.37+3.45vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-5.29vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.20+1.49vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.79-6.68vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.58-6.80vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-0.24-0.59vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.24-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.97Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.93Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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5.62Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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5.62University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University2.530.0%1st Place
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11.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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11.99Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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5.14Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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5.46Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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11.68University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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15.45Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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15.49Maine Maritime Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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8.32Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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9.2University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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16.41Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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13.11University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.5% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 12.0% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 12.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 20.0% | 27.1% | 21.2% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Farrin | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 26.2% | 24.1% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Abe Kipnis | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 11.4% | 21.5% | 47.3% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 9.9% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.