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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.77+4.33vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+3.42vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.25+3.90vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.60+1.58vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83+6.42vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.59-0.31vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58+2.03vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.79+0.26vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.53+0.20vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-1.89vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.74-5.65vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-0.41vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.66-1.06vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.20+1.50vs Predicted
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15Bates College0.37+0.34vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.24-9.20vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-0.24-0.55vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.24-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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5.42Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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6.9Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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5.58Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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11.42University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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5.69University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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9.03University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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8.26Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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5.35Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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11.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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11.94Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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15.5Maine Maritime Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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15.34Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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6.8Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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16.45Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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13.09University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Sean Cornell | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Joseph Farrin | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 26.3% | 24.0% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 18.4% | 26.1% | 21.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abe Kipnis | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 11.1% | 22.3% | 47.8% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 9.8% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.