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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.74+4.44vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.43+4.47vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+4.26vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.38+2.82vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.51+1.15vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.69-0.14vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.67-1.21vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.57+1.40vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81+3.18vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.21-2.76vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.86-2.35vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.53+0.89vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University0.55-0.13vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.11-2.73vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52-8.68vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.33-2.54vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.28-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.47Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.26Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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6.82Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.15Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.86Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.79Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Rhode Island1.570.0%1st Place
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12.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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7.24University of South Florida2.210.1%1st Place
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8.65Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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12.89Maine Maritime Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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12.87Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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11.27Northeastern University1.110.0%1st Place
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6.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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13.46University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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14.92University of Vermont-0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lyon | 12.7% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 9.6% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leclue | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 6.9% |
| Madison Gates | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Sturmer | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 13.3% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 13.6% |
| Madeleine Whittier | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
| Zachary Hall | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Judas Taylor | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 19.1% | 16.9% |
| Tijani Marou | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 17.5% | 44.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.