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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+6.38vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.69+3.88vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.51+3.53vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.97+1.11vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.43+1.63vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.74-0.08vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.67-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.07-0.09vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.57+0.96vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.11+1.29vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81+1.20vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.33+1.57vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.38-5.91vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.28+0.95vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52-8.49vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University0.55-2.93vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.53-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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5.88Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.53Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.11Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.63Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.92Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.01Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.91University of South Florida2.070.1%1st Place
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9.96University of Rhode Island1.570.0%1st Place
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11.29Northeastern University1.110.0%1st Place
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12.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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13.57University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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7.09Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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14.95University of Vermont-0.280.0%1st Place
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6.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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13.07Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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13.01Maine Maritime Academy0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Pleskus | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Franco Bilik | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dirk Johnson | 13.8% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Ewing | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Leclue | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Madeleine Whittier | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 7.0% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 22.2% | 17.9% |
| Dylan Farrell | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tijani Marou | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 42.7% |
| Zachary Hall | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 13.6% |
| Benjamin Sturmer | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.