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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.26+0.61vs Predicted
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2Wake Forest University-2.44+3.10vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.77+1.11vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-1.80+0.26vs Predicted
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5Davidson College-1.09-1.89vs Predicted
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6Vanderbilt University-2.36-1.12vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-2.36-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.61North Carolina State University0.2659.9%1st Place
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5.1Wake Forest University-2.443.5%1st Place
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4.11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.777.1%1st Place
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4.26University of South Carolina-1.806.5%1st Place
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3.11Davidson College-1.0914.8%1st Place
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4.88Vanderbilt University-2.364.0%1st Place
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4.93University of North Carolina-2.364.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Hannah | 59.9% | 25.8% | 9.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Palmer | 3.5% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 20.4% | 28.8% |
| Tonya Hakim | 7.1% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 9.6% |
| Tyler Williams | 6.5% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 19.2% | 16.8% | 11.3% |
| Oliver Genovese | 14.8% | 24.7% | 24.4% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Tiffany Ngigi | 4.0% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 21.2% | 22.9% |
| Megan Miller | 4.3% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.