← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.97+4.01vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.23+5.42vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.69+3.04vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+2.62vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.38+1.84vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.74-0.13vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University2.43-0.17vs Predicted
-
8Yale University2.67-2.09vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81+3.32vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida2.07-2.08vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island1.57-1.19vs Predicted
-
12Boston University2.51-5.50vs Predicted
-
13Maine Maritime Academy0.53+0.03vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.11-2.56vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont-0.28-0.18vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire0.33-2.41vs Predicted
-
17Wesleyan University0.55-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.01Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
-
7.42Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
-
6.04Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
-
6.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
-
6.84Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
-
5.87Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
-
6.83Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
-
5.91Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
-
12.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
-
7.92University of South Florida2.070.1%1st Place
-
9.81University of Rhode Island1.570.0%1st Place
-
6.5Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
-
13.03Maine Maritime Academy0.530.0%1st Place
-
11.44Northeastern University1.110.0%1st Place
-
14.82University of Vermont-0.280.0%1st Place
-
13.59University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
-
13.01Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Johnson | 14.8% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Franco Bilik | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Drake Lyon | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 6.8% |
| Scott Ewing | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Leclue | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Reed Lorimer | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Sturmer | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 13.8% |
| Madeleine Whittier | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 4.6% |
| Tijani Marou | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 42.8% |
| Judas Taylor | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 20.4% | 16.6% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.