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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.69+4.79vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.23+5.46vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.43+3.72vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.74+1.88vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.07+2.82vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+0.65vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.97-1.97vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.11+3.09vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.38-1.83vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.53+3.01vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.67-4.83vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81+0.23vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.57-3.12vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University0.55-0.93vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.33-1.50vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.28-1.07vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.51-10.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.46Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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6.72Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.88Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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7.82University of South Florida2.070.1%1st Place
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6.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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5.03Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.09Northeastern University1.110.0%1st Place
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7.17Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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13.01Maine Maritime Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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6.17Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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12.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Rhode Island1.570.0%1st Place
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13.07Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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13.5University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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14.93University of Vermont-0.280.0%1st Place
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6.6Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Bilik | 12.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Drake Lyon | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Ewing | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Hall | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dirk Johnson | 13.3% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Whittier | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 3.7% |
| Dylan Farrell | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Sturmer | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 13.2% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 8.2% |
| Joshua Leclue | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 14.3% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 17.3% | 19.7% | 17.9% |
| Tijani Marou | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 19.6% | 41.3% |
| Reed Lorimer | 7.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.