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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.07+6.86vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.51+4.40vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+3.51vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.69+1.97vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.97-0.03vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.53+7.15vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.43-0.24vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.74-2.36vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.38-1.85vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.57-0.27vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.67-4.81vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81+0.21vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.23-5.41vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.11-2.55vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.28-0.20vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University0.55-2.97vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.33-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86University of South Florida2.070.1%1st Place
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6.4Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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5.97Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.97Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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13.15Maine Maritime Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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6.76Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.64Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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7.15Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Rhode Island1.570.0%1st Place
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6.19Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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12.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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7.59Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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11.45Northeastern University1.110.0%1st Place
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14.8University of Vermont-0.280.0%1st Place
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13.03Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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13.6University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Ewing | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dirk Johnson | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Sturmer | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 14.8% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Leclue | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 7.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Whittier | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 3.6% |
| Tijani Marou | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 18.9% | 41.8% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 12.9% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 20.1% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.