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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.69+4.83vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.67+3.92vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.97+2.05vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.74+1.84vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.07+2.89vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.38+1.10vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.43-0.17vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.57+1.60vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.23-1.33vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.11+1.25vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52-4.33vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.51-5.49vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University0.55-0.01vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81-1.66vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.33-1.54vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.53-2.93vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.28-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.92Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.05Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.84Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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7.89University of South Florida2.070.1%1st Place
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7.1Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.83Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.25Northeastern University1.110.0%1st Place
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6.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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6.51Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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12.99Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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12.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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13.46University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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13.07Maine Maritime Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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14.98University of Vermont-0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Bilik | 11.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dirk Johnson | 12.8% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Ewing | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Farrell | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Leclue | 5.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Madeleine Whittier | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 3.2% |
| Zachary Hall | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Reed Lorimer | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 12.9% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 7.4% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 18.7% | 19.0% |
| Benjamin Sturmer | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 12.5% |
| Tijani Marou | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 18.7% | 43.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.