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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+5.43vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.23+5.50vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.07+5.07vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.74+1.95vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.90+0.25vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.97-0.73vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.67-0.85vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.51-1.52vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.57+0.97vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.43-3.23vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81+1.24vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.38-4.99vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University0.55+0.04vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.28+0.94vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.53-2.04vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.33-2.36vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.11-5.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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7.5Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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8.07University of South Florida2.070.1%1st Place
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5.95Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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5.25Brown University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.27Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.15Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.48Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Rhode Island1.570.0%1st Place
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6.77Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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12.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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7.01Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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13.04Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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14.94University of Vermont-0.280.0%1st Place
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12.96Maine Maritime Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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13.64University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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11.34Northeastern University1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Hall | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Scott Ewing | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Drake Lyon | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Eve | 13.5% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dirk Johnson | 11.1% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Leclue | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 7.5% |
| Dylan Farrell | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 12.3% |
| Tijani Marou | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 44.2% |
| Benjamin Sturmer | 0.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 12.8% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 18.4% | 17.5% |
| Madeleine Whittier | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.