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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+4.02vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.07+3.22vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.55+3.43vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.83+5.60vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.12+3.31vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.10-0.60vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.17+0.94vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.46+6.82vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.19-0.18vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.48+1.24vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.60-3.68vs Predicted
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12Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-0.69vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.41-3.07vs Predicted
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14Auburn University0.12-1.94vs Predicted
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15Florida State University1.69-8.41vs Predicted
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16Duke University-1.01-0.72vs Predicted
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17The Citadel0.19-4.99vs Predicted
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18Embry-Riddle University-0.27-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02College of Charleston2.3814.4%1st Place
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5.22College of Charleston2.0713.3%1st Place
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6.43Jacksonville University1.559.4%1st Place
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9.6University of Miami0.834.0%1st Place
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8.31North Carolina State University1.124.7%1st Place
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5.4Jacksonville University2.1011.8%1st Place
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7.94Eckerd College1.175.8%1st Place
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14.82University of Central Florida-0.460.8%1st Place
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8.82University of South Florida1.194.9%1st Place
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11.24Jacksonville University0.482.5%1st Place
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7.32University of South Florida1.607.4%1st Place
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11.31Palm Beach Atlantic University0.362.6%1st Place
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9.93Rollins College0.414.2%1st Place
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12.06Auburn University0.121.4%1st Place
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6.59Florida State University1.698.0%1st Place
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15.28Duke University-1.010.9%1st Place
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12.01The Citadel0.192.2%1st Place
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13.71Embry-Riddle University-0.271.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 14.4% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 13.3% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Long | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Owen Bannasch | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 19.7% | 27.8% |
| Humberto Porrata | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Joe Seiffert | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 3.5% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Bridget Monahan | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 5.7% |
| Peter Foley | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 37.5% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 5.3% |
| Mason Howell | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.