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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+4.39vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.12+6.30vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.38+1.99vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.55+2.53vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.17+3.08vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.48+5.09vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.07-1.78vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.60-0.73vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.83+0.53vs Predicted
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10Auburn University0.12+2.19vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.69-4.46vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.41-2.07vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.19-4.11vs Predicted
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14Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-2.68vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.27-1.33vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.46-1.27vs Predicted
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17Duke University-1.01-1.65vs Predicted
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18The Citadel0.19-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Jacksonville University2.1012.0%1st Place
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8.3North Carolina State University1.125.6%1st Place
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4.99College of Charleston2.3814.2%1st Place
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6.53Jacksonville University1.558.8%1st Place
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8.08Eckerd College1.175.7%1st Place
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11.09Jacksonville University0.483.0%1st Place
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5.22College of Charleston2.0713.4%1st Place
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7.27University of South Florida1.608.3%1st Place
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9.53University of Miami0.833.5%1st Place
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12.19Auburn University0.121.5%1st Place
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6.54Florida State University1.699.0%1st Place
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9.93Rollins College0.414.0%1st Place
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8.89University of South Florida1.194.5%1st Place
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11.32Palm Beach Atlantic University0.362.2%1st Place
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13.67Embry-Riddle University-0.271.2%1st Place
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14.73University of Central Florida-0.460.9%1st Place
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15.35Duke University-1.010.4%1st Place
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11.99The Citadel0.191.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 14.2% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Joe Seiffert | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Long | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Bridget Monahan | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 5.5% |
| Peter Foley | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Humberto Porrata | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Mason Howell | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 16.2% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 27.2% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 19.7% | 37.9% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.