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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria2.29+1.31vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.25+0.34vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.08+0.90vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound-1.01+1.42vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University1.47-2.57vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia0.19-1.87vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia0.59-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31University of Victoria2.290.4%1st Place
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2.34University of Washington2.250.3%1st Place
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3.9Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
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3.43Oregon State University1.470.1%1st Place
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5.13University of British Columbia0.190.0%1st Place
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4.47University of British Columbia0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoff Abel | 36.6% | 25.0% | 18.8% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 32.0% | 28.9% | 20.3% | 12.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Gabe Hill | 8.6% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 23.3% | 20.4% | 14.8% | 2.9% |
| William Service | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 14.7% | 70.9% |
| Cody Odou | 12.0% | 18.6% | 21.3% | 21.7% | 17.2% | 7.7% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Darling | 3.8% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 20.1% | 35.3% | 16.6% |
| Jeanne Currie | 6.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 25.2% | 24.5% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.