← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University1.08+2.87vs Predicted
-
2University of Victoria2.29+0.31vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington2.25-0.65vs Predicted
-
4University of British Columbia0.19+1.15vs Predicted
-
5University of Puget Sound-1.01+1.39vs Predicted
-
6University of British Columbia0.59-1.36vs Predicted
-
8Oregon State University1.47-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.87Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
-
2.31University of Victoria2.290.3%1st Place
-
2.35University of Washington2.250.3%1st Place
-
5.15University of British Columbia0.190.0%1st Place
-
6.39University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
-
4.64University of British Columbia0.590.1%1st Place
-
3.28Oregon State University1.470.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Hill | 10.3% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 21.7% | 22.3% | 13.1% | 3.7% |
| Geoff Abel | 32.1% | 30.6% | 19.9% | 11.0% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Kris Thompson | 31.9% | 28.5% | 21.3% | 11.6% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Darling | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 19.5% | 38.0% | 15.5% |
| William Service | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 16.6% | 68.8% |
| Jeanne Currie | 5.3% | 6.0% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 26.7% | 23.4% | 10.3% |
| Cody Odou | 16.9% | 15.9% | 20.3% | 24.2% | 15.7% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.