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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.25+1.35vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria2.29+0.28vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.08+0.91vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.59+0.64vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University1.47-1.57vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia0.19-1.88vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound-1.01-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35University of Washington2.250.3%1st Place
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2.28University of Victoria2.290.3%1st Place
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3.91Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.64University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
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3.43Oregon State University1.470.1%1st Place
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5.12University of British Columbia0.190.0%1st Place
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6.28University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 34.5% | 26.8% | 18.2% | 12.5% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Geoff Abel | 33.9% | 29.5% | 19.5% | 11.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Gabe Hill | 8.6% | 12.1% | 18.3% | 22.7% | 21.7% | 12.6% | 4.0% |
| Jeanne Currie | 4.9% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 25.4% | 25.7% | 9.5% |
| Cody Odou | 12.9% | 18.0% | 21.2% | 22.1% | 15.3% | 8.2% | 2.3% |
| Matthew Darling | 3.9% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 19.0% | 34.4% | 17.6% |
| William Service | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 16.0% | 65.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.