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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Auburn University0.12+11.11vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+3.38vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.60+4.37vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.38+1.02vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.17+3.06vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.07-0.83vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.19+1.90vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.69-1.47vs Predicted
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9Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36+2.36vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.12-1.87vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.19+0.85vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.48-0.79vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.55-6.53vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.27-0.62vs Predicted
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15Rollins College0.41-4.94vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.46-1.15vs Predicted
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17University of Miami0.83-7.40vs Predicted
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18Duke University-1.01-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.11Auburn University0.121.9%1st Place
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5.38Jacksonville University2.1012.8%1st Place
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7.37University of South Florida1.607.1%1st Place
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5.02College of Charleston2.3814.5%1st Place
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8.06Eckerd College1.175.6%1st Place
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5.17College of Charleston2.0714.0%1st Place
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8.9University of South Florida1.194.4%1st Place
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6.53Florida State University1.697.5%1st Place
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11.36Palm Beach Atlantic University0.362.2%1st Place
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8.13North Carolina State University1.126.6%1st Place
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11.85The Citadel0.192.2%1st Place
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11.21Jacksonville University0.481.7%1st Place
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6.47Jacksonville University1.558.9%1st Place
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13.38Embry-Riddle University-0.271.4%1st Place
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10.06Rollins College0.413.9%1st Place
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14.85University of Central Florida-0.460.9%1st Place
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9.6University of Miami0.833.9%1st Place
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15.55Duke University-1.010.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Monahan | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 4.9% |
| Owen Bannasch | 12.8% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 14.5% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Peter Foley | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Benjamin Usher | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 5.1% |
| Joe Seiffert | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Matthew King | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mason Howell | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 13.6% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 20.2% | 29.1% |
| Nathan Long | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 19.8% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.