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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.87+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria1.87+0.04vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia-0.10+0.17vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.11-2.20vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia-0.58-2.24vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound-0.98-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Western Washington University1.870.3%1st Place
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2.04University of Victoria1.870.4%1st Place
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4.17University of British Columbia-0.100.1%1st Place
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2.8University of Washington1.110.2%1st Place
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4.76University of British Columbia-0.580.0%1st Place
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5.13University of Puget Sound-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Foley | 35.0% | 33.4% | 20.8% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| David Berry | 39.0% | 30.4% | 21.0% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Gutenbarg | 5.7% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 29.7% | 30.3% | 14.9% |
| Kate Flanagan | 16.5% | 22.4% | 33.7% | 20.3% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Clara Reid | 2.0% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 20.1% | 32.4% | 33.4% |
| Lauren Engstrom | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 14.2% | 27.4% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.