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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.87+1.10vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.11-0.19vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.87-1.97vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia-0.10-1.81vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound-0.98-1.86vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia-0.58-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Western Washington University1.870.3%1st Place
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2.81University of Washington1.110.2%1st Place
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2.03University of Victoria1.870.4%1st Place
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4.19University of British Columbia-0.100.1%1st Place
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5.14University of Puget Sound-0.980.0%1st Place
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4.73University of British Columbia-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Foley | 34.8% | 33.0% | 22.2% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Kate Flanagan | 18.9% | 20.6% | 31.5% | 19.7% | 7.8% | 1.5% |
| David Berry | 37.3% | 33.4% | 21.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Gutenbarg | 5.2% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 32.0% | 30.1% | 14.5% |
| Lauren Engstrom | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 13.0% | 24.9% | 52.3% |
| Clara Reid | 2.3% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 21.7% | 33.1% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.