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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Western Washington University1.87+0.07vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.87-0.97vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.11-1.17vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound-0.98+0.07vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia-0.58-1.22vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia-0.10-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Western Washington University1.870.4%1st Place
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2.03University of Victoria1.870.4%1st Place
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2.83University of Washington1.110.2%1st Place
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5.07University of Puget Sound-0.980.0%1st Place
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4.78University of British Columbia-0.580.0%1st Place
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4.22University of British Columbia-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Foley | 36.4% | 32.4% | 22.0% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| David Berry | 39.7% | 30.1% | 19.4% | 9.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kate Flanagan | 16.7% | 20.9% | 34.1% | 20.6% | 6.4% | 1.3% |
| Lauren Engstrom | 1.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 13.6% | 26.9% | 48.9% |
| Clara Reid | 1.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 17.2% | 34.6% | 33.6% |
| Hannah Gutenbarg | 4.1% | 6.1% | 12.9% | 32.7% | 28.5% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.