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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.11+1.90vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia-0.10+1.14vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.87-1.94vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound-0.98+0.07vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia-0.58-2.23vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.87-5.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9University of Washington1.110.2%1st Place
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4.14University of British Columbia-0.100.0%1st Place
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2.06University of Victoria1.870.4%1st Place
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5.07University of Puget Sound-0.980.0%1st Place
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4.77University of British Columbia-0.580.0%1st Place
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2.06Western Washington University1.870.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Flanagan | 15.7% | 21.0% | 33.2% | 19.9% | 8.2% | 2.0% |
| Hannah Gutenbarg | 4.6% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 30.2% | 27.8% | 15.1% |
| David Berry | 37.0% | 32.4% | 20.3% | 8.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Engstrom | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 14.0% | 26.7% | 49.0% |
| Clara Reid | 2.9% | 3.7% | 8.2% | 17.6% | 34.2% | 33.4% |
| Paul Foley | 38.0% | 31.6% | 18.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.