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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.87+1.08vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria1.87+0.02vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.11-0.17vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia-0.10-0.82vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound-0.98-0.84vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia-0.58-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Western Washington University1.870.4%1st Place
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2.02University of Victoria1.870.4%1st Place
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2.83University of Washington1.110.2%1st Place
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4.18University of British Columbia-0.100.0%1st Place
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5.16University of Puget Sound-0.980.0%1st Place
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4.73University of British Columbia-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Foley | 35.6% | 33.7% | 21.4% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| David Berry | 39.7% | 29.7% | 21.0% | 7.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kate Flanagan | 16.7% | 21.5% | 32.5% | 21.6% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Gutenbarg | 4.8% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 31.3% | 30.0% | 14.6% |
| Lauren Engstrom | 1.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 11.5% | 26.1% | 52.4% |
| Clara Reid | 2.2% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 21.3% | 33.2% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.